0xac48…e505 is verified smart money

Outcome-verified track record on resolved Polymarket markets — win rate, edge over the price it paid, and leaderboard rank. Free, signed by Predge.

Predge / wallet checker / 0xac48…e505
0xac48085a4a0f08c5aa75ea1f8384899c2066e505
✓ Verified smart money
Beat the market price on a real sample of resolved bets, with capital behind it.
Win rate (resolved)
86.4% (≥73.3%)
Edge over price
+29.7pp
Conviction
2.60
Leaderboard rank
#42 of 6164
Resolved trades
44
Volume (30d)
$6.4k
✓ signed · ed25519 · key 13fa3d18a3… — this verdict is cryptographically attested by Predge and can be verified offline on the checker.
Open in the live checker → 𝕏 Share this verdict
How this is computed (no black box)

Win rate counts resolved markets only — a trade wins when its side matches the final on-chain resolution. Edge = Wilson-95%-lower-bound(win rate) − average entry price, so beating a coin-flip counts more than winning a near-certain bet, and small samples are damped. Conviction = edge × ln(1 + volume): skill first, then the capital behind it. The bar for a leaderboard rank is ≥10 resolved-eligible trades and ≥$1,000 of volume. Data is delayed 15 minutes; real-time stays on Predge Pro. Each result is signed with Predge's ed25519 key so you can verify it offline.

Building an agent or copy-bot? The full history, per-trade PnL curve and live signals for 0xac48…e505 are on the pay-per-call x402 API — GET /v1/wallets/0xac48085a4a0f08c5aa75ea1f8384899c2066e505, USDC per call, no keys.